川普遭遇第二次刺杀：乌克兰支持者的极端行为背后有何玄机？

美国大选的日期定在11月份，通常进入10月后，随着选战白热化，会出现高潮迭起的局面，这就是所谓的"10月惊奇"。然而，今年9月初就已经迎来了一次小高潮，那就是川普和哈里斯的首次对阵。

虽然哈里斯的表现仅仅是避免了像拜登那样的灾难性表现，但这已经被主流媒体捧成了大胜。在宣传势头上，她不仅盖过了"懂王"川普一头，还趁机动员了超级人气歌手泰勒·斯威夫特为民主党拉票。

就在此时，川普阵营又传出一个重大消息：有人再次企图刺杀川普。这次并非发生在公共场合，而是在川普打高尔夫时。刺客躲在高尔夫球场旁边的草丛里，被发现时距离川普只有400多米。在安保人员开枪警告后，几人逃离了现场，留下了一把安装了瞄准器的AK47。

起初，我还怀疑这次可能是自导自演，因为这不是在公众场合下发生的，目的也许是将舆论焦点从哈里斯表现还算正常的辩论上拉回来。而且这次也没有上一次那么惊险，现在的时机谈不上最好，毕竟还没到"10月惊奇"的关键节骨眼上。但是，说这是川普阵营的自导自演，理由还是不够充分，因为从中获得的收益实在太微不足道了。

如果说这又是一起真实的刺杀事件，那也让人感到蹊跷。为什么美国有这么多极端分子想要对川普下手呢？在主流媒体口中，支持川普的铁粉甚至被定义为国内的极端恐怖分子。那为什么这个被认为更加极端的人群里面没有人去刺杀拜登或者哈里斯呢？

从这次刺客的身份来看，似乎能看出一些端倪。这次的枪手是一位56岁的白人男性，是坚定的乌克兰支持者。在俄乌战争爆发的第一年，也就是2022年6月，他曾亲身前往乌克兰申请参战，但因没有军事经验而被拒绝。

他刺杀川普的动机就说得通了。因为川普声称他要在一天之内结束这场战争。作为一个商人，虽然喜欢打广告，但必定要付诸行动，才能赢得商誉。而事实上，他是有能力做到这一点的，只要停止对乌克兰的援助，乌克兰就不可能继续对抗更加庞大的俄罗斯。作为乌克兰支持者，枪手显然不愿意看到这一幕。所以也许他认为除掉川普是在帮助乌克兰。

但是，作为这样一个极端的乌粉，仅靠他自己的谋划，能够在合适的时间和地点接近到川普身边，这仍然是很难想象的事情。所以很大的可能，仍然是有幕后势力，利用枪手的意识形态，做了很多里应外合的工作才能促成这一事件的发生。

长达三年的乌克兰战争，筑起上千亿美元的援助，这些援助很大一部分都进入了美国军工复合体的腰包里。所以有些人是不希望战争结束的。一个是乌克兰总统泽连斯基和他的政治小圈子，一旦战争结束，紧急状态终结，他们也就将离开权力中心。另一个就是通过战争大量赚取财富的军工复合体。

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The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November, and in October, as the election campaign heats up, there will be one climax after another, which is called the October surprise. However, the beginning of September this year has ushered in a small climax, that is, the first time Trump and Harris against.

While Harris's performance merely avoided a disastrous performance like Biden's, it has been heralded as a big win by the mainstream media. In terms of publicity momentum, she not only eclipsed the "understand king" Trump, but also took the opportunity to mobilize super popular singer Taylor Swift to canvass votes for the Democratic Party.

Just then, another big news came out of the Trump camp: there was another attempt to assassinate Trump. This time it didn't happen in public, but while Trump was playing golf. The assassin was hiding in the grass next to the golf course and was found just over 400 meters away from Trump. After security officers fired warning shots, several people fled the scene, leaving behind an AK47 equipped with a gun sight.

At first, I wondered if this might have been staged, since it wasn't happening in public, perhaps to pull the spotlight back from a debate in which Harris had performed reasonably well. And this time is not as dangerous as the last time, now is not the best time, after all, not yet to the "October surprise" critical juncture. However, to say that this is a self-directed play by the Trump camp is not enough, because the gains from it are too small.

If this was another real assassination, it would be strange. Why do so many extremists in the United States want to target Trump? In the mainstream media, Trump supporters are even defined as domestic extremist terrorists. So why hasn't anyone from this supposedly more extreme group tried to kill Biden or Harris?

From the identity of this assassin, there seems to be a clue. This time the gunman was a 56-year-old white male who was a strong supporter of Ukraine. In June 2022, the first year of the Russia-Ukraine war, he went to Ukraine to apply for combat, but was rejected because he had no military experience.

That would explain his motive for killing Trump. Because Trump says he's going to end this war in a day. As a businessman, although like to advertise, but must put into action, in order to win goodwill. In fact, he has the ability to do so, as long as the aid to Ukraine is stopped, Ukraine can not continue to confront a larger Russia. As a supporter of Ukraine, the gunman clearly did not want to see this. So maybe he thinks he's helping Ukraine by getting rid of Trump.

However, as such an extreme fan, it is still hard to imagine that he can get close to Trump at the right time and place by himself. Therefore, it is very possible that there are still behind-the-scenes forces, using the ideology of the gunman, and doing a lot of internal and external work to facilitate the occurrence of this incident.

Three years of war in Ukraine have resulted in hundreds of billions of dollars in aid, much of which has gone into the pockets of the US military-industrial complex. So some people don't want the war to end. One is Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and his inner circle, who will leave power once the war is over and the state of emergency ends. The other is the military-industrial complex, which makes a lot of money through war.