pomeline (78)in #split • 12 hours agoThe folks at Split Ticket released their presidential forecast.Wonderful! Their initial forecast has Harris with a 62% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin and Michigan as…pomeline (78)in #times • 2 days agoTimes/Siena is finally out.Inject it into my veins. Tied race nationally, but up 4 points in Pennsylvania. (My reminder the electoral college…pomeline (78)in #fivethirtyeight • 2 days agoWisconsin is getting close to likely D territory in the FiveThirtyEight model.Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia are all at their highest win probabilities of…pomeline (78)in #nowcast • 3 days agoGDP growth.A little over a month away from the release of the third quarter GDP. The nowcast is expecting 2.9% GDP growth. It…pomeline (78)in #putin • 4 days agoThe whole exchange was embarrassing.I don't know if she's doing Putin's bidding versus just being a useful idiot. But she's indistinguishable from the…pomeline (78)in #health • 5 days agoWe are up to 251 measles cases this year across 29 states and DC.Highest number of cases since 2019. Oregon is experiencing its largest outbreak since 1991. Minnesota is…pomeline (78)in #health • 6 days agoHigh coronavirus activity across the country.Folks that were waiting for Novavax's updated vaccine, it is now available at pharmacies. CVS has appointments…pomeline (78)in #politics • 7 days agoPolitical identification.The WSJ editorial board realizing that the face eating leopards actually do eat faces. Republicans go to therapy…pomeline (78)in #memorial • 8 days agoTrump and Loomer.Trump brought Laura Loomer to the 9/11 memorials. She is a 9/11 conspiracy theorist. She also flew with him for the…pomeline (78)in #startup • 9 days agoThis is not that surprising to me.I think it's a predictable consequence of the mass of covid restrictions, alienation of working population and the…pomeline (78)in #us • 9 days agoCPI numbers.Headline CPI came in at 0.2% month to month in August (2.3% annualized). Core CPI came in at 0.3% month to month…pomeline (78)in #trump • 10 days agoDebunking Trump.Donald Trump would like you to… Ok, I can’t. I just can’t do this one with a straight face. My days of finding…pomeline (78)in #politics • 11 days agoWhen I was really young, I believed I could make a positive impact through political action.When I got a little older, I thought it highly unlikely, but wanted to at least be able to say to my kids "I tried"…pomeline (78)in #trump • 12 days agoI was wrong in my last debate prediction, but I'll take another shot at it.I think Harris will likely be perceived as doing better than Trump (though I think both will be pretty bad). I don't…pomeline (78)in #poling • 13 days agoPollster methodology changes and response patterns change.This is why I say polling error and bias change across elections. To add more detail to these posts, a theory for…pomeline (78)in #senate • 14 days agoSplit Ticket's new Senate race ratings.Their model expects Republicans to win 51 seats and Democrats to win 48 seats and Ohio is rated as a toss-up. They…pomeline (78)in #us • 15 days agoUS Jobs report.We added 142k jobs in August. And unemployment fell to 4.2%. First decline in unemployment since March. Pretty much in…pomeline (78)in #prime • 16 days agoBarnier appointment.He's from LR (conservative). Since no party won a majority, the prime minister had to be a coalition candidate. In…pomeline (78)in #north • 17 days agoRemarkable how Republicans are so ineptly defending North Carolina this cycle.It was achingly close in 2020. And near the top of the ticket is one of the worst Republican candidates of this…pomeline (78)in #islamic • 18 days agoIndiscriminately bombing.The Islamic Cultural Center in Kyiv was damaged in a Russian missile attack. Zelensky had celebrated a Ramadan…
